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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Salzburg
T T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Altach
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Altach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
89%
0%
Both score Ø 45%
67%
22%
Average goals
3,4
1,3
Scored
2,1
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
8 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 2. · Altach 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 8 6 0 2 +10 +2.9 18
2 Salzburg 9 5 2 2 +7 +4.2 17
3 Wolfsberger AC 10 5 2 3 +6 +0.1 17
4 SK Rapid 9 5 2 2 +4 +0.8 17
5 Austria Vienna 10 5 1 4 +0 +0.0 16
6 Ried 10 4 2 4 +1 -2.4 14
7 Hartberg 10 3 3 4 +0 -0.4 12
8 Altach 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.1 12
9 BW Linz 9 3 1 5 -4 -2.2 10
10 Tirol 9 2 3 4 -3 +3.9 9
11 LASK 9 2 1 6 -8 -5.0 7
12 Grazer AK 10 0 6 4 -13 -3.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Altach
Joane Gadou 🟨
20′
Joane Gadou 🟨
22′
Joane Gadou 🟥
22′
Douglas Mendes 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
26′
Jacob Rasmussen 🟨
34′
34′
P. Greil 0–1
1–1 K. Alajbegovic
K. Onisiwo
41′
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Marlon Mustapha
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 🟨
53′
2–1 E. Baidoo
56′
Alexander Schlager 🟨
60′
62′
🟨 Mike-Steven Bähre
Soumaïla Diabaté 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 S. Hrstic
↦ S. Mustapha
67′
🔁 L. Lukacevic
↦ M. Ouedraogo
73′
🔁 A. Gorgon
↦ S. Ingolitsch
73′
🔁 B. Idrizi
↦ Y. Massombo
Kerim Alajbegović 🟨
77′
S. Kitano 🔁
↦ K. Alajbegovic
78′
P. Ratkov 🔁
↦ K. Onisiwo
78′
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ M. K. Yeo
78′
80′
O. Diawara 2–2
L. Lukacevic
85′
🔁 E. Yalcin
↦ P. Greil
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
88′
Yorbe Vertessen 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
23 J. Gadou D
2 J. Rasmussen D
13 F. Kratzig D
5 S. Diabate M
15 M. Diambou M
49 M. K. Yeo M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
20 E. Baidoo F
9 K. Onisiwo F
Bench (9)
92 S. Hamzic
7 C. Bischoff
8 S. Kitano
11 Y. Vertessen
14 M. Kjaergaard
21 P. Ratkov
29 L. Gourna-Douath
37 T. Trummer
39 Douglas Mendes

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Altach

4-3-1-2
1 D. Stojanovic G
25 S. Ingolitsch D
23 B. Zech D
15 P. Koller D
29 M. Ouedraogo D
14 M. Oswald M
8 M. Bahre M
28 Y. Massombo M
18 P. Greil M
10 O. Diawara F
9 S. Mustapha F
Bench (8)
39 M. Kobras
5 L. Gugganig
11 S. Hrstic
12 L. Lukacevic
20 A. Gorgon
22 B. Idrizi
26 E. Yalcin
27 F. Milojevic

Coach: Ognjen Zaric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.