Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: Sven Jablonski

St Pauli

S S T T T

0–3

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

St Pauli Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 2,34

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 7

4 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 12. · Hoffenheim 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	7	0	0	+23	+14.4	21
2	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+1	+1.6	16
3	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	+5	+3.5	15
4	Dortmund	7	4	2	1	+7	+4.2	14
5	Leverkusen	7	4	2	1	+5	+5.7	14
6	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	+2	-1.9	11
7	Ein Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.7	10
8	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	-3	-4.4	10
9	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.4	9
10	Hamburg	7	2	2	3	-3	-2.9	8
11	Werder Bremen	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.2	8
12	St Pauli	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.2	7
13	Augsburg	7	2	1	4	-2	-6.9	7
14	Hoffenheim	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.1	7
15	Wolfsburg	7	1	2	4	-5	-1.5	5
16	Mainz	7	1	1	5	-6	-2.0	4
17	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	-7	-2.9	4
18	M'gladbach	7	0	3	4	-9	-1.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	+16	+7.1	12
2	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.3	9
3	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.8	9
4	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
5	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+3	+4.5	7
6	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.7	7
7	Hamburg	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.5	6
8	Freiburg	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.3	5
9	FC Koln	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.1	4
10	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
11	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.4	4
12	Heidenheim	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.7	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.1	3
14	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-2	-4.6	3
15	Wolfsburg	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.4	2
16	M'gladbach	4	0	2	2	-6	-1.1	2
17	Mainz	4	0	0	4	-5	-3.5	0
18	Hoffenheim	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+7	+7.3	9
2	Dortmund	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.7	7
3	Hoffenheim	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
4	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.4	7
5	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.2	7
6	FC Koln	4	2	1	1	+0	-1.8	7
7	RB Leipzig	4	2	1	1	-4	-0.7	7
8	Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.7	6
9	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.3	4
10	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.1	4
11	Mainz	3	1	1	1	-1	+1.5	4
12	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	-3	-6.6	4
13	Wolfsburg	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.9	3
14	St Pauli	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.2	3
15	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.8	3
16	Hamburg	4	0	2	2	-6	-2.5	2
17	M'gladbach	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.3	1
18	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.