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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Kooij

NAC Breda

S T T U U

1–4

Full-time

Heracles

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

2,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

73% Possession 27%

19 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 0

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoogeveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	FC Lisse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Hoek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	GVVV Veenendaal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Capelle	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	HHC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
44	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
45	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
54	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
83	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	FC Lisse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hoek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Capelle	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Sparta Nijkerk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Katwijk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	HHC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Roda	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	FC OSS	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
31	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.