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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
Utrecht
T T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Volendam
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Volendam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 28%
43%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
63%
Both score Ø 59%
43%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,54 xG 0,46
58% Possession 42%
22 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 11. · Volendam 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Feyenoord 8 7 1 0 +12 +11.0 22
2 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 +14 +6.7 19
3 Ajax 8 4 4 0 +7 +5.3 16
4 AZ Alkmaar 8 4 3 1 +5 +6.7 15
5 Groningen 8 5 0 3 +3 +0.7 15
6 Nijmegen 9 4 2 3 +8 +5.7 14
7 Twente 9 4 2 3 +3 +8.9 14
8 For Sittard 8 4 1 3 +1 -4.6 13
9 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 4 2 +0 -0.7 10
10 Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 1 4 -11 -4.1 10
11 Utrecht 7 3 0 4 +5 -1.6 9
12 Heerenveen 7 2 2 3 -1 +7.6 8
13 Volendam 8 1 4 3 -4 -4.6 7
14 Telstar 8 2 1 5 -5 -4.2 7
15 NAC Breda 8 2 1 5 -6 -6.7 7
16 Zwolle 8 2 1 5 -8 -7.1 7
17 Excelsior 8 2 0 6 -10 -7.2 6
18 Heracles 8 1 0 7 -13 -11.9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Volendam
42′
R. van Cruijsen 0–1
H. Veerman
Half-time 0–1
M. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ M. Jonathans
46′
1–1 A. Blake
S. El Karouani
53′
56′
🔁 A. Oehlers
↦ R. van Cruijsen
56′
🔁 D. Payne
↦ P. Ugwu
Gjivai Zechiël 🟨
57′
65′
🟨 Yannick Leliendal
Z. Iqbal 🔁
↦ A. Engwanda
68′
2–1 S. El Karouani
75′
82′
🔁 S. Esajas
↦ G. Yah
82′
🔁 J. Ideho
↦ N. Bukala
82′
🔁 R. Muhren
↦ O. Kokcu
D. Murkin 🔁
↦ A. Blake
86′
D. de Wit 🔁
↦ S. Haller
86′
3–1 M. Rodriguez
D. Murkin
90′
C. Bozdogan 🔁
↦ G. Zechiel
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
3 M. van der Hoorn D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
26 M. Jonathans M
9 D. Min M
15 A. Blake M
91 S. Haller F
Bench (12)
8 C. Bozdogan
25 M. Brouwer
17 E. Demircan
40 M. Didden
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
5 K. Finnsson
33 K. Gadellaa
14 Z. Iqbal
55 D. Murkin
22 M. Rodriguez
20 D. de Wit
6 D. van den Berg

Coach: Ron Jans

Volendam

4-2-3-1
1 K. van Oevelen G
5 P. Ugwu D
3 M. Amevor D
20 N. Verschuren D
32 Y. Leliendal D
8 G. Yah M
18 N. Bukala M
10 B. Kuwas M
40 R. van Cruijsen
7 O. Kokcu M
9 H. Veerman F
Bench (12)
99 A. Descotte
33 K. Dyer
28 S. Esajas
17 J. Ideho
14 A. Meijers
21 R. Muhren
11 A. Oehlers
2 D. Payne
6 A. Plat
16 R. Steur
22 D. Vlak
19 M. Zijlstra

Coach: Rick Kruys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
5,02
B
7,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.