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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Boavista
U U S S T
0–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 8
0 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 7. · Benfica 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Portimonense 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 +8 7
4 Estoril 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Guimaraes 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Boavista 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Arouca 3 2 0 1 -2 6
9 Casa Pia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
10 Sp Lisbon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Chaves 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Vizela 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Gil Vicente 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Santa Clara 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Famalicao 3 0 1 2 -5 1
17 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 0 3 -7 0
18 Maritimo 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Benfica
7′
🟨 António Silva
Bruno Lourenço 🟨
27′
30′
Morato 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Reggie Cannon 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 Alejandro Grimaldo
R. Boženík 🔁
↦ Salvador Agra
62′
Ricardo Mangas 🔁
↦ R. Abascal
62′
62′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ David Neres
62′
🔁 A. Bah
↦ Gilberto
62′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
67′
João Mário 0–2
P. Musa
Martim Tavares 🔁
↦ K. Gorré
78′
80′
ℹ️ Petar Musa
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Vincent Sasso 🟨
82′
82′
João Mário 0–3
M. Watai 🔁
↦ S. Pérez
85′
Joel da Silva 🔁
↦ Bruno Lourenço
85′
90′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ E. Fernández
91′
🔁 M. Ristić
↦ Álex Grimaldo
Gaius Makouta 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Boavista

3-5-2
12 César G
2 R. Cannon D
23 V. Sasso D
26 R. Abascal D
79 Pedro Malheiro M
42 G. Makouta M
8 Bruno Lourenço M
24 S. Pérez M
70 S. Onyemaechi M
21 Salvador Agra F
7 K. Gorré F
Bench (9)
9 R. Boženík
19 Ricardo Mangas
59 Martim Tavares
13 M. Watai
16 Joel da Silva
99 João Gonçalves
4 Robson Reis
18 I. Vukotić
20 Filipe Ferreira

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
2 Gilberto D
66 António Silva D
91 Morato D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
13 E. Fernández M
61 Florentino M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
17 Diogo Gonçalves
6 A. Bah
33 P. Musa
8 F. Aursnes
23 M. Ristić
39 Henrique Araújo
5 J. Vertonghen
22 Chiquinho
77 Helton Leite

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,49
U
4,73
B ✓
1,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.