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Primeira Liga

Referee: André Narciso

Sp Lisbon

S S U S T

0–2

Full-time

Chaves

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,7

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

22 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

13 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 10. · Chaves 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	Estoril	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Arouca	3	2	0	1	-2	6
8	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Santa Clara	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Sp Lisbon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.