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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Guimaraes

T S S T S

0–1

Full-time

Porto

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 63%

39%

86%

Points per game

1,4

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

61%

71%

Both score Ø 59%

61%

57%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,4

2,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

4 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 20

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Porto 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	28	24	4	0	+52	76
2	Sp Lisbon	29	23	4	2	+41	73
3	Benfica	29	20	4	5	+44	64
4	Sp Braga	28	15	7	6	+18	52
5	Gil Vicente	29	12	10	7	+10	46
6	Guimaraes	28	11	6	11	+1	39
7	Pacos Ferreira	29	9	9	11	-7	36
8	Estoril	29	8	10	11	-4	34
9	Santa Clara	29	8	10	11	-14	34
10	Boavista	29	6	15	8	-7	33
11	Maritimo	29	8	9	12	-7	33
12	Portimonense	29	8	8	13	-7	32
13	Vizela	28	6	11	11	-15	29
14	Famalicao	29	6	10	13	-10	28
15	Arouca	29	6	8	15	-23	26
16	Tondela	29	7	4	18	-21	25
17	Moreirense	29	5	8	16	-20	23
18	Belenenses	29	4	9	16	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	12	2	0	+28	38
2	Sp Lisbon	14	12	1	1	+21	37
3	Benfica	15	10	2	3	+21	32
4	Sp Braga	15	8	4	3	+12	28
5	Santa Clara	15	7	5	3	-1	26
6	Guimaraes	13	7	2	4	+6	23
7	Boavista	15	4	9	2	+3	21
8	Gil Vicente	15	5	5	5	+3	20
9	Pacos Ferreira	15	5	5	5	-1	20
10	Maritimo	14	3	6	5	+0	15
11	Estoril	14	3	6	5	-1	15
12	Famalicao	14	3	6	5	-2	15
13	Vizela	14	3	6	5	-5	15
14	Belenenses	14	4	3	7	-14	15
15	Tondela	15	4	2	9	-9	14
16	Arouca	14	4	2	8	-15	14
17	Portimonense	15	3	4	8	-7	13
18	Moreirense	14	3	3	8	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	14	12	2	0	+24	38
2	Sp Lisbon	15	11	3	1	+20	36
3	Benfica	14	10	2	2	+23	32
4	Gil Vicente	14	7	5	2	+7	26
5	Sp Braga	13	7	3	3	+6	24
6	Portimonense	14	5	4	5	+0	19
7	Estoril	15	5	4	6	-3	19
8	Maritimo	15	5	3	7	-7	18
9	Guimaraes	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Pacos Ferreira	14	4	4	6	-6	16
11	Vizela	14	3	5	6	-10	14
12	Famalicao	15	3	4	8	-8	13
13	Arouca	15	2	6	7	-8	12
14	Boavista	14	2	6	6	-10	12
15	Tondela	14	3	2	9	-12	11
16	Moreirense	15	2	5	8	-15	11
17	Santa Clara	14	1	5	8	-13	8
18	Belenenses	15	0	6	9	-17	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.