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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Porto

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

2,2

3,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,5

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

23 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Porto 1. · Sp Lisbon 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Arouca	3	2	0	1	-2	6
6	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Santa Clara	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.