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Primeira Liga
Referee: Cláudio Pereira
Porto
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,47 xG 0,10
71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -24 Gil Vicente – Porto 1–1 23. Sep -23 Porto – Gil Vicente 2–1 26. Feb -23 Porto – Gil Vicente 1–2 3. Sep -22 Gil Vicente – Porto 0–2 27. Feb -22 Porto – Gil Vicente 1–1

Match report

Porto Gil Vicente
Nico González ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
1–0 Galeno ⚽
30′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Sandro Cruz
2–0 Iván Jaime ⚽
Gonçalo Borges
59′
Vasco Sousa 🔁
↦ S. Eustaquio
61′
Pepê 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Borges
61′
66′
🔁 Y. Sithole
↦ K. Fujimoto
67′
🔁 Depú
↦ Jorge Aguirre
3–0 D. Namaso ⚽
70′
Fran Navarro 🔁
↦ D. Namaso
75′
75′
🔁 Josué Sá
↦ M. Dominguez
75′
🔁 J. Mutombo
↦ T. Touré
77′
🟨 Sandro Cruz
77′
🟥 Sandro Cruz
Evanilson 🔁
↦ Iván Jaime
83′
André Franco 🔁
↦ Nico González
83′
87′
🟨 Josué Sá
92′
🔁 João Pinto
↦ Félix Correia
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
52 Martim Fernandes D
97 Zé Pedro D
4 Otávio D
13 Galeno D
6 S. Eustaquio M
22 A. Varela M
70 Gonçalo Borges M
16 Nico González M
17 Iván Jaime M
19 D. Namaso F
Bench (9)
15 Vasco Sousa
11 Pepê
21 Fran Navarro
30 Evanilson
20 André Franco
8 M. Grujić
23 João Mário
26 David Carmo
14 Cláudio Ramos

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
2 Zé Carlos D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
57 Sandro Cruz D
24 M. Gbane M
8 M. Dominguez M
7 T. Touré M
10 K. Fujimoto M
71 Félix Correia M
9 Jorge Aguirre F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Sithole
29 Depú
23 Josué Sá
45 J. Mutombo
13 João Pinto
99 Brian Araújo
35 Felipe Silva
16 Gui Beleza
11 Diego Collado

Coach: Carlos Cunha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
🔒
U
7,17
🔒
B
14,72
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,52
🔒
U2,5
2,50
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Cláudio Pereira · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.