Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Santa Clara
Porto
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |
Sp Braga
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 22 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 22 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 |
Casa Pia
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
Boavista
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 16 |
| 8 |
Estoril
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 |
Chaves
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |
Portimonense
|
10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Arouca
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Vizela
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |
Famalicao
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Gil Vicente
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Santa Clara
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |
Maritimo
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -18 | 5 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Gabriel Silva
M
Coach: Mário Silva
Diogo Costa
G
Pepê Aquino
D
David Carmo
D
Z. Sanusi
D
Evanilson
F
M. Taremi
F
Coach: Sérgio Conceição
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Vizela
Santa Clara
Tondela
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Sp Lisbon
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Pacos Ferreira
Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.