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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
Gent
S U S T T
2–0
Full-time
Oostende
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 46%
25%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 11. · Oostende 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Standard 5 4 0 1 +11 12
3 Antwerp 5 4 0 1 +10 12
4 Mechelen 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Genk 5 3 0 2 +5 9
6 Kortrijk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
12 Anderlecht 5 0 3 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Eupen 5 0 3 2 -8 3
15 St Truiden 5 1 0 4 -9 3
16 Waasland-Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
18 Cercle Brugge 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Yaremchuk
J. David
48′
2–0 J. David
M. Lustig
53′
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ J. David
63′
67′
🔁 I. Boonen
↦ Fernando Canesin
B. Dejaegere 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
68′
68′
🔁 F. Marquet
↦ M. Jonckheere
77′
🔁 S. Guri
↦ I. Sylla
81′
🟨 Wout Faes
A. Castro-Montes 🔁
↦ R. Yaremchuk
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
1 T. Kaminski G
23 M. Lustig D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
6 E. Owusu M
33 L. Verstraete M
31 Y. Kubo F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
9 R. Bezus
19 B. Dejaegere
14 A. Castro-Montes
4 S. Rosted
26 C. Coosemans
13 G. Kvilitaia
29 L. Depoitre

Coach: J. Thorup

Oostende

4-3-3
28 W. Dutoît G
23 A. Skúlason D
27 B. Capon D
5 G. Milović D
4 W. Faes D
20 M. Jonckheere M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
55 Fernando Canesin M
14 A. Palaversa M
24 I. Sylla F
7 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
11 I. Boonen
8 F. Marquet
9 S. Guri
32 N. Rajsel
1 F. Ondoa
10 Renato Neto
22 L. Ndenbe

Coach: K. Ingebrigtsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
U
5,10
B
7,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.