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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Antwerp
T S S S T
2–0
Full-time
St Truiden
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
100%
25%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
3,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Antwerp 4. · St Truiden 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 5 4 1 0 +12 13
2 Standard 5 4 0 1 +11 12
3 Mechelen 4 3 1 0 +6 10
4 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +8 9
5 Genk 5 3 0 2 +5 9
6 Kortrijk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Charleroi 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
12 Anderlecht 5 0 3 2 -3 3
13 Waregem 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 St Truiden 4 1 0 3 -7 3
15 Eupen 5 0 3 2 -8 3
16 Waasland-Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
17 Beveren 4 0 1 3 -9 1
18 Cercle Brugge 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp St Truiden
1–0 L. Refaelov
D. Mbokani
10′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Yohan Boli
2–0 D. Mbokani
55′
64′
🔁 N. Balongo
↦ E. Acolatse
S. Coopman 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
70′
70′
🔁 S. Van Dessel
↦ J. Botaka
79′
🟨 Yohan Boli
79′
🟥 Yohan Boli
F. Haroun 🔁
↦ A. De Sart
80′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ D. Mbokani
86′
87′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
89′
🔁 Alan Sousa
↦ H. Masoudi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-2-3-1
39 J. Teunckens G
2 R. De Laet D
30 Buta D
3 A. Seck D
17 R. Quirynen D
11 L. Refaelov M
25 A. De Sart M
18 M. Hongla D
70 D. Mbokani F
14 A. Baby M
7 D. Lamkel Ze F
Bench (7)
20 S. Coopman
38 F. Haroun
10 G. Hairemans
6 S. Juklerød
8 Ivo Rodrigues
21 D. Batubinsika
31 Y. De Winter

Coach: L. Bölöni

St Truiden

3-4-3
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
29 E. Acolatse F
20 S. Mmaee D
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
8 I. Sankhon M
70 H. Masoudi
11 Y. Boli F
14 A. De Bruyn
22 W. Janssens F
Bench (7)
30 N. Balongo
19 S. Van Dessel
50 Alan Sousa
15 Nguyễn Công Phượng
35 T. Herbots
27 M. Troonbeeckx
28 T. De Smet

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,18
B
5,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.