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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
For Sittard
T T T T U
2–3
Full-time
Willem II
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 15. · Willem II 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +8 7
2 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Sparta Rotterdam 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Utrecht 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Heerenveen 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Twente 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 PSV Eindhoven 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 VVV Venlo 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 FC Emmen 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Willem II
1–0 V. Damaşcan
A. Ciss
18′
23′
M. Vrousai 1–1
F. Lewis
29′
V. Pavlidis 1–2
45′
V. Pavlidis 1–3
M. Vrousai
Half-time 1–3
Vitalie Damașcan 🟨
49′
2–3 V. Damaşcan
Mica Pinto
51′
B. Sambou 🔁
↦ J. Smeets
56′
57′
🔁 D. Dankerlui
↦ C. Nunnely
Felix Passlack 🟨
65′
A. Zeka 🔁
↦ R. Karjalainen
72′
A. Ugur 🔁
↦ C. Essers
78′
83′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ V. Pavlidis
89′
🟨 Fernando Lewis
90′
🟨 Paul Gladon
90′
🔁 R. Zuijderwijk
↦ F. Lewis
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
23 Mica Pinto D
5 G. Amiot D
4 B. Ňinaj D
15 F. Passlack M
12 C. Essers D
10 M. Diemers M
6 J. Smeets M
20 A. Ciss F
7 R. Karjalainen F
99 V. Damaşcan F
Bench (8)
9 B. Sambou
33 A. Zeka
22 A. Ugur
27 R. Koot
24 N. El Ablak
28 A. Jug
29 P. Raitanen
25 D. Ioannidis

Coach: S. Ultee

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
3 F. Heerkens D
2 F. Lewis D
25 S. Holmén D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
16 M. Vrousai M
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
15 D. Dankerlui
9 P. Gladon
33 R. Zuijderwijk
24 J. McGarry
32 D. Ryan
36 C. van den Berg
27 V. van den Bogert
29 J. Ogenia
20 K. Coulibaly
22 João Queirós

Coach: A. Koster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U
3,64
B ✓
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.