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Pro League

Standard

S U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Mouscron

S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 0

3 Corners 4

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 8. · Mouscron 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Mechelen	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Genk	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Kortrijk	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Standard	3	2	0	1	+5	6
9	Oostende	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Gent	4	1	1	2	+3	4
12	Anderlecht	5	0	3	2	-3	3
13	Waregem	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	St Truiden	4	1	0	3	-7	3
15	Eupen	5	0	3	2	-8	3
16	Waasland-Beveren	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Cercle Brugge	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	4
4	Kortrijk	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Mouscron	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Standard	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Oostende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Eupen	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Anderlecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Cercle Brugge	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Genk	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Standard	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Oostende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Mouscron	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Waregem	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Anderlecht	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Gent	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Waasland-Beveren	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Beveren	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Cercle Brugge	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.