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Pro League

Referee: Wesli De Cremer

St Truiden

T U S S T

1–3

Full-time

Charleroi

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

This season — Pro League · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

56%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

47%

56%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 7

6 Corners 10

11 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Charleroi 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	13	3	1	+32	42
2	Standard	18	11	3	4	+20	36
3	Gent	18	9	5	4	+14	32
4	Charleroi	16	9	4	3	+11	31
5	Antwerp	18	9	4	5	+9	31
6	Mechelen	18	9	4	5	+4	31
7	Waregem	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Genk	19	8	5	6	+5	29
9	Anderlecht	18	5	8	5	+1	23
10	Mouscron	16	5	7	4	+2	22
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	5	7	4	+2	22
12	St Truiden	17	5	5	7	-10	20
13	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-16	17
14	Kortrijk	18	4	3	11	-9	15
15	Oostende	18	3	4	11	-16	13
16	Cercle Brugge	19	3	4	12	-22	13
17	Waasland-Beveren	16	2	5	9	-17	11
18	Beveren	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Standard	10	8	1	1	+18	25
3	Antwerp	8	7	1	0	+14	22
4	Genk	9	6	1	2	+3	19
5	Club Brugge	8	5	3	0	+16	18
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+1	16
7	Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	4	3	1	+6	15
9	Anderlecht	10	3	5	2	+3	14
10	Waregem	8	4	1	3	+7	13
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Kortrijk	9	3	2	4	+2	11
13	St Truiden	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Cercle Brugge	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Oostende	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Eupen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Beveren	8	1	2	5	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Mechelen	9	6	1	2	+6	19
3	Waregem	10	4	4	2	+0	16
4	Charleroi	8	4	3	1	+10	15
5	Standard	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Genk	10	2	4	4	+2	10
7	Eupen	9	3	1	5	-10	10
8	Anderlecht	8	2	3	3	-2	9
9	Antwerp	10	2	3	5	-5	9
10	St Truiden	8	3	0	5	-10	9
11	Mouscron	8	1	4	3	-4	7
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Gent	9	1	4	4	-5	7
14	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Beveren	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-11	4
17	Oostende	9	1	1	7	-12	4
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	2	7	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.