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Super League

Referee: G Tassis

PAOK

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Larisa

U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Larisa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Super League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

64%

45%

Points per game

2,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

82%

64%

Both score Ø 64%

73%

55%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

18 Free kicks against 23

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PAOK 2. · Larisa 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	9	3	0	+16	30
2	PAOK	11	7	4	0	+10	25
3	Larisa	11	5	3	3	+2	18
4	OFI Crete	12	5	2	5	+6	17
5	AEK	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Xanthi	12	5	1	6	-3	16
7	Volos NFC	12	5	1	6	-7	16
8	Aris	10	4	3	3	+5	15
9	Aris Thessalonikis	10	4	3	3	+5	15
10	Atromitos	11	4	2	5	+2	14
11	Lamia	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Panathinaikos	11	3	3	5	-9	12
13	Asteras Tripolis	12	3	2	7	-3	11
14	Panionios	12	2	4	6	-9	10
15	Panetolikos	11	0	3	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	OFI Crete	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	PAOK	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Volos NFC	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	Aris	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Aris Thessalonikis	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Atromitos	6	3	1	2	+5	10
8	AEK	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Lamia	6	2	4	0	+2	10
10	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Larisa	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Xanthi	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Panionios	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Panathinaikos	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Panetolikos	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Olympiakos	6	3	3	0	+3	12
3	Larisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Xanthi	6	3	0	3	-3	9
5	Panathinaikos	6	2	2	2	-6	8
6	AEK	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Aris	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	OFI Crete	7	1	2	4	-2	5
10	Atromitos	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	1	5	-5	4
12	Panionios	5	1	1	3	-7	4
13	Volos NFC	6	1	1	4	-8	4
14	Lamia	5	1	0	4	-7	3
15	Panetolikos	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.