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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Ranheim
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ranheim Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
25%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
54%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ranheim 16. · Lillestrom 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 28 19 5 4 +37 62
2 Bodo/Glimt 28 14 9 5 +19 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 28 13 9 6 +11 48
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Kristiansund 28 11 8 9 +4 41
7 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Stabaek 28 9 9 10 +0 36
10 Valerenga 28 8 10 10 -2 34
11 Lillestrom 28 7 8 13 -14 29
12 Tromso 28 8 5 15 -18 29
13 Sarpsborg 08 28 5 13 10 -10 28
14 Mjondalen 28 5 12 11 -13 27
15 Stromsgodset 28 6 8 14 -20 26
16 Ranheim 28 6 6 16 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ranheim Lillestrom
Vegard Erlien 🟨
27′
40′
🟨 Simen Kind Mikalsen
Half-time 0–1
50′
Daniel Alexander Pedersen 0–1
Aleksander Foosnaes 🔁
↦ Daniel Kvande
55′
1–1 Adria Mateo Lopez
61′
Oyvind Storflor 🔁
↦ Jorgen Olsen
63′
2–1 Mads Reginiussen
69′
70′
🔁 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
↦ Daniel Gustafsson
76′
🔁 Aleksander Melgalvis
↦ Sheriff Sinyan
76′
🔁 Arnór Smárason
↦ Fredrik Krogstad
Øyvind Alseth 🔁
↦ Ola Solbakken
80′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ranheim

4-3-3
1 Even Barli G
2 Jorgen Olsen D
3 Daniel Kvande D
4 Ivar Furu D
21 Torbjörn Heggem D
23 Adria Mateo Lopez M
11 Eirik Valla Donnem M
7 Mads Reginiussen M
26 Ola Solbakken F
25 Mushaga Bakenga F
14 Vegard Erlien F
Bench (7)
12 Magnus Lenes
5 Øyvind Alseth
24 Aleksander Foosnaes
16 Olaus Jair Skarsem
10 Oyvind Storflor
9 Michael Karlsen
22 Erlend Tolnes Sorhoy

Coach: S. Maalen

Lillestrom

4-5-1
1 Marko Marić G
5 Simen Rafn D
6 Joonas Tamm D
4 Tobias Salquist D
3 Simen Kind Mikalsen D
14 Fredrik Krogstad M
8 Ifeanyi Mathew M
23 Daniel Alexander Pedersen M
19 Sheriff Sinyan M
7 Daniel Gustafsson M
10 Thomas Lehne Olsen F
Bench (7)
40 Mads Christiansen
2 Mats Haakenstad
13 Frode Kippe
15 Erik Brenden
33 Aleksander Melgalvis
17 Kristoffer Odemarksbakken
88 Arnór Smárason

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.