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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Mechelen
S T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
75%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Anderlecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 22 7 1 +46 73
2 Gent 29 17 7 5 +29 58
3 Charleroi 29 16 9 4 +29 57
4 Antwerp 28 15 7 6 +20 52
5 Standard 29 14 7 8 +18 49
6 Genk 29 14 6 9 +11 48
7 Waregem 28 12 5 11 +6 41
8 Mechelen 28 12 5 11 -3 41
9 Anderlecht 28 9 12 7 +4 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 6 14 -11 36
11 Kortrijk 30 10 5 15 -6 35
12 Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -20 30
15 Cercle Brugge 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Oostende 30 6 4 20 -30 22
17 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20
18 Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
17′
🟨 Jeremy Doku
45′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
45′
🟨 Jeremy Doku
45′
🟥 Jeremy Doku
Half-time 1–0
1–0 G. Hairemans
A. Vranckx
48′
Joachim Van Damme 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ M. Vlap
2–0 A. Vranckx
N. Storm
72′
73′
🔁 Z. Bakkali
↦ D. Joveljić
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ N. Storm
77′
W. Togui 🔁
↦ I. de Camargo
83′
Clement Tainmont 🟨
87′
D. Vanzeir 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-1-2-3
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
29 I. Kabore D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
21 C. Tainmont
9 W. Togui
31 D. Vanzeir
12 S. Bouzian
30 J. Vanlerberghe
2 J. Van Cleemput
22 A. Corryn

Coach: W. Vrancken

Anderlecht

4-3-3
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 V. Kompany D
32 D. Luckassen D
22 E. Cobbaut D
62 M. Murillo D
23 P. Žulj M
10 M. Vlap M
40 F. Amuzu F
48 A. Lokonga F
28 D. Joveljić F
49 J. Doku F
Bench (7)
20 M. Pjaca
99 Z. Bakkali
33 D. Roef
50 S. Dewaele
55 M. Kana
39 E. Kayembe
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,69
U
3,49
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.