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Pro League
Referee: B Put
0–1
Full-time
Gent
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,4
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2 Corners 0
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 19. · Gent 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 6 6 0 0 +10 18
2 Standard 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
4 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +3 12
5 Beerschot VA 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Anderlecht 6 2 4 0 +4 10
8 Club Brugge 5 3 0 2 +8 9
9 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Cercle Brugge 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Eupen 5 1 3 1 -3 6
13 Oostende 5 1 2 2 +0 5
14 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Genk 4 1 2 1 -2 5
16 Gent 5 1 0 4 -3 3
17 Waasland-Beveren 5 1 0 4 -7 3
18 Beveren 5 1 0 4 -7 3
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Gent
14′
N. Dorsch 0–1
Saad Agouzoul 🟨
24′
31′
🔁 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
↦ S. Kums
I. Faraj 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
40′
Half-time 0–1
68′
🔁 O. Bukari
↦ J. Botaka
Osvaldo Capemba 🔁
↦ S. Tabekou
77′
C. Brym 🔁
↦ B. Badibanga
77′
77′
🔁 T. Kleindienst
↦ L. Depoitre
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
81′
Benjamin van Durmen 🟨
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
2 K. Dabila D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
10 M. Bakić M
11 D. Mohamed M
30 B. Van Durmen M
39 D. Nlandu M
31 H. Gnohéré F
29 B. Badibanga F
70 S. Tabekou M
Bench (7)
14 I. Faraj
15 Osvaldo Capemba
25 C. Brym
9 V. Postolachi
21 N. Gillekens
26 M. Silvestre
28 E. Sağlık

Coach: F. Da Cruz

Gent

4-3-3
33 D. Roef G
32 I. Plastun D
36 D. Arslanagić D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
24 S. Kums M
17 J. Botaka F
30 N. Dorsch M
6 E. Owusu M
29 L. Depoitre F
7 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
20 O. Bukari
34 T. Kleindienst
1 S. Bolat
11 A. Niangbo
18 D. Mbayo
22 S. Marreh

Coach: W. De Decker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.