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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Cercle Brugge
T T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 27/25 matches
Win Ø 39%
30%
48%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
63%
76%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
68%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 18. · Mechelen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 16 4 4 +33 52
2 Antwerp 25 15 5 5 +16 50
3 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
4 Waregem 29 14 3 12 +2 45
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 12 7 9 +3 43
6 Mechelen 25 12 5 8 +4 41
7 Beerschot VA 27 12 4 11 -3 40
8 Kortrijk 29 11 6 12 -1 39
9 Anderlecht 26 8 14 4 +11 38
10 Charleroi 27 11 5 11 +2 38
11 Standard 23 10 6 7 +5 36
12 Eupen 28 8 12 8 -8 36
13 Gent 25 10 5 10 +9 35
14 Oostende 24 10 5 9 +5 35
15 St Truiden 29 8 7 14 -9 31
16 Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
18 Cercle Brugge 27 8 1 18 -13 25
19 Beveren 25 5 6 14 -22 21
20 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ K. Mrabti
Thibo Somers 🟨
73′
K. Denkey 🔁
↦ I. Ugbo
74′
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ M. Shved
K. Hoggas 🔁
↦ D. Hotič
83′
85′
🟨 Ferdy Druijf
87′
I. de Camargo 0–1
N. Storm
88′
ℹ️ Igor De Camargo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
O. Deman 🔁
↦ T. Somers
90′
F. Kanoute 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
91′
91′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ G. Hairemans
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon G
4 J. Taravel D
25 A. Corryn D
24 J. Marcelin D
2 Vitinho D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
34 T. Somers M
10 D. Hotič M
9 I. Ugbo F
11 A. Musaba M
Bench (7)
12 K. Denkey
20 K. Hoggas
23 O. Deman
98 F. Kanoute
89 S. Bruzzese
3 D. Bates
41 G. Biancone

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Y. Thoelen G
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
29 I. Kaboré D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved M
Bench (7)
11 N. Storm
9 F. Druijf
40 A. Vranckx
8 O. Kaya
14 S. Voet
1 G. Coucke
88 S. Defour

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,99
U
3,64
B ✓
2,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.