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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Charleroi
S S T S T
2–3
Full-time
Westerlo
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 38%
56%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 5. · Westerlo 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 +14 27
2 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
3 Club Brugge 8 6 1 1 +13 19
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Charleroi 9 5 0 4 +1 15
6 Anderlecht 9 4 1 4 +5 13
7 St Truiden 9 3 4 2 +2 13
8 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +2 13
9 Mechelen 10 3 2 5 +0 11
10 Gent 6 3 1 2 +3 10
11 Oostende 9 3 1 5 -3 10
12 Kortrijk 9 3 1 5 -5 10
13 Standard 5 3 0 2 -1 9
14 Waregem 10 2 2 6 -9 8
15 Cercle Brugge 7 1 3 3 -6 6
16 Eupen 9 2 0 7 -9 6
17 Seraing 9 2 0 7 -10 6
18 Seraing United 9 2 0 7 -10 6
19 Westerlo 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Westerlo
3′
B. Reynolds 0–1
M. De Cuyper
10′
M. De Cuyper 0–2
L. Foster
1–2 I. Mbenza
K. Nkuba
36′
Half-time 1–2
R. Morioka 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
65′
J. Kayembe 🔁
↦ L. Bessilé
65′
68′
🔁 M. Fixelles
↦ Igor Vetokele
68′
🔁 P. Perdichizzi
↦ Lucas Mineiro
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ J. Tchatchoua
73′
73′
🔁 T. Dierckx
↦ H. Akbunar
73′
🔁 K. Vaesen
↦ N. Chadli
Y. Badji 🔁
↦ S. Andreou
85′
86′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ L. Foster
2–2 Y. Badji
A. Zorgane
88′
89′
K. Vaesen 2–3
N. Dorgeles
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-2-1
16 H. Koffi G
3 S. Knežević D
21 S. Andreou D
5 L. Bessilé D
28 K. Nkuba M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
7 I. Mbenza F
18 D. Heymans F
Bench (7)
44 R. Morioka
12 J. Kayembe
15 A. Descotte
10 Y. Badji
25 D. Marcq
2 J. Bager
1 P. Patron

Coach: E. Still

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
8 N. Madsen M
6 Lucas Mineiro M
35 H. Akbunar M
25 Igor Vetokele M
5 N. Chadli M
9 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
4 M. Fixelles
2 P. Perdichizzi
55 T. Dierckx
14 K. Vaesen
45 N. Dorgeles
20 N. Gillekens
33 R. Neustädter

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,55
B ✓
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.