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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Westerlo
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 4/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 19. · Anderlecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Club Brugge 8 6 1 1 +13 19
3 Antwerp 6 6 0 0 +10 18
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 5 1 2 +3 16
5 Charleroi 9 5 0 4 +1 15
6 Anderlecht 8 4 1 3 +6 13
7 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +2 13
8 Mechelen 9 3 1 5 +0 10
9 St Truiden 8 2 4 2 -1 10
10 Kortrijk 9 3 1 5 -5 10
11 Standard 5 3 0 2 -1 9
12 Oostende 8 3 0 5 -3 9
13 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Gent 5 2 1 2 +1 7
15 Eupen 9 2 0 7 -9 6
16 Seraing 8 2 0 6 -9 6
17 Seraing United 8 2 0 6 -9 6
18 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Anderlecht
1–0 Igor Vetokele
M. De Cuyper
6′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Duranville
↦ N. Sadiki
55′
🔁 S. Esposito
↦ A. Diawara
59′
🟨 Wesley Hoedt
Lucas Mineiro 🔁
↦ M. Fixelles
60′
N. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
60′
Bryan Reynolds 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Mario Stroeykens
66′
🔁 L. Refaelov
↦ M. Stroeykens
70′
S. Esposito 1–1
L. Refaelov
74′
🔁 A. Murillo
↦ F. Amuzu
K. Vaesen 🔁
↦ Igor Vetokele
76′
H. Akbunar 🔁
↦ T. Dierckx
76′
2–1 H. Akbunar
M. De Cuyper
83′
Halil Akbunar 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Michael Murillo
P. Perdichizzi 🔁
↦ L. Foster
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
23 R. Seigers D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
8 N. Madsen M
4 M. Fixelles M
55 T. Dierckx M
25 Igor Vetokele M
5 N. Chadli M
9 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
6 Lucas Mineiro
45 N. Dorgeles
14 K. Vaesen
35 H. Akbunar
2 P. Perdichizzi
20 N. Gillekens
33 R. Neustädter

Coach: J. De Roeck

Anderlecht

3-5-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
56 Z. Debast D
4 W. Hoedt D
3 H. Delcroix D
27 N. Sadiki M
18 M. Ashimeru M
21 A. Diawara M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
7 F. Amuzu M
29 M. Stroeykens F
99 Fábio Silva F
Bench (7)
59 J. Duranville
70 S. Esposito
11 L. Refaelov
62 A. Murillo
16 B. Verbruggen
61 K. Arnstad
54 K. Sardella

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,84
U
3,47
B
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.