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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
Paris FC
T U U T S
1–2
Full-time
Rodez
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 20%
25%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 59%
75%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
4 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 11. · Rodez 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 9 5 2 2 +8 17
2 Sochaux 8 5 1 2 +10 16
3 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 +6 16
4 Le Havre 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 Caen 8 4 3 1 +6 15
6 Amiens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Valenciennes 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Metz 8 3 2 3 +3 11
9 Dijon 9 3 2 4 -3 11
10 St Etienne 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Paris FC 8 2 4 2 -1 10
12 Bastia 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Annecy 8 2 3 3 +0 9
14 Grenoble 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -2 8
16 Laval 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Quevilly Rouen 8 1 4 3 -5 7
18 Niort 8 2 1 5 -7 7
19 Pau FC 8 1 4 3 -7 7
20 Rodez 7 1 3 3 -5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Rodez
14′
🟨 Clément Depres
1–0 M. Guilavogui
24′
Half-time 1–0
M. Chahiri 🔁
↦ A. Gory
46′
46′
🔁 H. Far
↦ S. Raux-Yao
61′
É. Vandenabeele 1–1
H. Far
68′
🟨 Lorenzo Rajot
71′
🔁 N. Ouammou
↦ C. Dépres
J. López 🔁
↦ I. Kebbal
75′
J. Hadjam 🔁
↦ F. Hanin
76′
Julien Le Cardinal 🟨
77′
Kouadio Dabila 🟨
80′
81′
B. Danger 1–2
S. Karamoko 🔁
↦ J. Le Cardinal
83′
86′
🔁 A. Valério
↦ L. Rajot
93′
🔁 F. David
↦ W. Younoussa
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-4-2
40 I. Filipović G
26 J. Le Cardinal D
13 K. Dabila D
24 M. Bernauer D
15 J. Lefort D
11 I. Kebbal M
10 J. Iglesias M
14 C. Mandouki M
29 F. Hanin M
27 A. Gory F
21 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (7)
7 M. Chahiri
20 J. López
3 J. Hadjam
2 S. Karamoko
25 W. Koré
12 L. Phiri
1 V. Demarconnay

Coach: T. Laurey

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. M'Pasi G
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
20 M. Senaya M
26 W. Younoussa M
14 B. Danger M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
25 C. Dépres F
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
27 H. Far
7 N. Ouammou
18 A. Valério
10 F. David
17 Plamedi Buni Jorge
30 T. Secchi
22 L. Mouyokolo

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,45
B ✓
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.