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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
3–2
Full-time
Charleroi
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 60%
57%
63%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
71%
63%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6. · Charleroi 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Club Brugge 8 6 1 1 +13 19
3 Antwerp 6 6 0 0 +10 18
4 Charleroi 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Anderlecht 8 4 1 3 +6 13
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +2 13
8 Mechelen 9 3 1 5 +0 10
9 St Truiden 8 2 4 2 -1 10
10 Kortrijk 9 3 1 5 -5 10
11 Standard 5 3 0 2 -1 9
12 Oostende 8 3 0 5 -3 9
13 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Gent 5 2 1 2 +1 7
15 Eupen 9 2 0 7 -9 6
16 Seraing 8 2 0 6 -9 6
17 Seraing United 8 2 0 6 -9 6
18 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Hamza Mendyl 🟨
-5′
13′
D. Heymans 0–1
A. Gholizadeh
17′
🟨 Stelios Andreou
1–1 M. Maertens
K. Malinov
22′
Half-time 1–1
58′
🟨 Marco Ilaimaharitra
61′
🟨 Ken Nkuba
R. Holzhauser 🔁
↦ N. Nsingi
61′
Mario González 🔁
↦ J. Þorsteinsson
61′
2–1 Mario González
R. Holzhauser
62′
D. Ouédraogo 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
74′
74′
🔁 A. Benbouali
↦ A. Gholizadeh
74′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ I. Mbenza
75′
ℹ️ Daan Heymans
VAR: Penalty confirmed
76′
M. Ilaimaharitra 2–2
3–2 Mario González
D. Ouédraogo
85′
Raphael Holzhauser 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 A. Hosseinzadeh
↦ K. Nkuba
88′
🟨 Jonas Bager
J. Dom 🔁
↦ Mousa Al Tamari
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
12 V. Cojocaru G
25 L. Patris D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
20 H. Mendyl D
11 Mousa Al Tamari M
4 K. Malinov M
24 C. De Norre M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
33 M. Maertens F
43 N. Nsingi F
Bench (7)
10 R. Holzhauser
9 Mario González
15 D. Ouédraogo
6 J. Dom
13 S. Kiyine
21 João Gamboa
29 N. Jackers

Coach: M. Brys

Charleroi

3-4-3
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
21 S. Andreou D
5 L. Bessilé D
28 K. Nkuba M
6 A. Zorgane M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
18 D. Heymans F
7 I. Mbenza F
Bench (7)
45 A. Benbouali
15 A. Descotte
99 A. Hosseinzadeh
1 P. Patron
3 S. Knežević
31 M. Wasinski
25 D. Marcq

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
U
3,72
B
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,31
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.