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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Waalwijk
U T U S T
5–1
Full-time
Cambuur
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Cambuur
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

79% Possession 21%
33 Shots 4
13 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
16 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Waalwijk 12. · Cambuur 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Feyenoord 6 5 1 0 +12 16
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +17 15
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 2 0 +7 14
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
8 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
9 Excelsior 6 3 0 3 -7 9
10 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
11 Groningen 7 2 2 3 -5 8
12 Waalwijk 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 -9 5
14 Volendam 7 1 2 4 -13 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 -5 4
16 FC Emmen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
17 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 0 5 -7 3
18 For Sittard 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waalwijk Cambuur
8′
🟥 Mees Hoedemakers
13′
🔁 D. van Kaam
↦ F. Mambimbi
17′
J. Jacobs 0–1
Julen Lobete 🟨
22′
22′
🟨 Mitchell Paulissen
Pelle Clement ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
30′
31′
🟨 Jamie Jacobs
1–1 M. Kramer
32′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟥 Alex Bangura
46′
ℹ️ Alex Bangura
VAR: Card upgrade
F. Jozefzoon 🔁
↦ D. Van den Buijs
46′
R. Kuijpers 🔁
↦ Julen Lobete
46′
46′
🔁 M. Breij
↦ T. Boere
46′
🔁 D. Sambissa
↦ S. van der Water
Julian Lelieveld 🟨
57′
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ T. Lutonda
60′
68′
🔁 C. Mac-Intosch
↦ L. Bergsma
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ J. Lelieveld
71′
1–2 M. Tol
own goal
77′
2–2 Z. Bakkali
S. Adewoye
82′
83′
🔁 R. Balk
↦ M. Paulissen
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ P. Clement
84′
3–2 I. Bel Hassani
V. Anita
86′
4–2 M. Kramer
V. Anita
89′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Waalwijk

5-3-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
4 S. Adewoye D
24 D. Van den Buijs D
5 T. Lutonda D
11 I. Bel Hassani M
6 V. Anita M
14 P. Clement M
29 M. Kramer F
7 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
10 F. Jozefzoon
17 R. Kuijpers
19 Z. Bakkali
9 M. Biereth
8 P. Vroegh
21 Joel Pereira
12 H. Mulder
34 L. Wouters
35 K. Felida
33 Y. Oukili
31 J. Kesting
26 S. Augustijns

Coach: J. Oosting

Cambuur

4-3-3
1 João Virgínia G
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 M. Tol D
4 L. Bergsma D
16 A. Bangura D
8 J. Jacobs M
6 M. Hoedemakers M
10 M. Paulissen M
11 S. van der Water F
9 T. Boere F
7 F. Mambimbi F
Bench (12)
21 D. van Kaam
14 M. Breij
18 D. Sambissa
3 C. Mac-Intosch
30 R. Balk
27 S. Sylla
33 F. Smand
12 R. Ruiter
39 M. Smit
22 J. van der Meer
31 B. Minnema
5 D. Schmidt

Coach: H. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,62
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.