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Superligaen

Referee: P Kjærsgaard-Andersen

Midtjylland

S T U T U

1–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Midtjylland 6. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	7	6	0	1	+9	+4.1	18
2	Nordsjaelland	7	5	1	1	+13	+3.0	16
3	Brondby	7	5	0	2	+5	+1.8	15
4	Silkeborg	7	4	1	2	+3	+4.5	13
5	Aarhus	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.4	11
6	Midtjylland	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.6	9
7	Odense	7	2	2	3	+2	-1.6	8
8	Lyngby	7	2	2	3	-1	-2.1	8
9	Viborg	7	2	2	3	-4	+2.2	8
10	Randers FC	7	1	2	4	-11	-1.8	5
11	Vejle	7	1	0	6	-5	-9.6	3
12	Hvidovre IF	7	0	2	5	-10	-4.6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nordsjaelland	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.9	9
2	FC Copenhagen	4	3	0	1	+5	+2.8	9
3	Silkeborg	4	3	0	1	+3	+5.2	9
4	Lyngby	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.9	7
5	Aarhus	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.2	7
6	Brondby	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.2	6
7	Midtjylland	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.3	6
8	Viborg	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.2	5
9	Randers FC	3	1	1	1	-4	+1.6	4
10	Odense	4	0	2	2	-2	-0.9	2
11	Vejle	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.8	0
12	Hvidovre IF	3	0	0	3	-8	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
2	Brondby	4	3	0	1	+1	-0.4	9
3	Nordsjaelland	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.1	7
4	Odense	3	2	0	1	+4	-0.7	6
5	Aarhus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
6	Silkeborg	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
7	Vejle	4	1	0	3	-2	-5.8	3
8	Viborg	4	1	0	3	-5	–	3
9	Midtjylland	3	1	0	2	-5	+0.3	3
10	Hvidovre IF	4	0	2	2	-2	-3.9	2
11	Lyngby	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.2	1
12	Randers FC	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.