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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Hamburg
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 4. · Hansa Rostock 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
2 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
4 Hamburg 4 3 1 0 +6 10
5 Hansa Rostock 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Kaiserslautern 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Wehen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
8 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Greuther Furth 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
14 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
17 Osnabruck 4 0 1 3 -3 1
18 Elversberg 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Hansa Rostock
19′
🟨 Kai Pröger
32′
🟨 Svante Ingelsson
40′
🟨 Kevin Schumacher
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Kinsombi
↦ K. Schumacher
46′
🔁 J. David
↦ S. Ingelsson
1–0 L. Bénes
L. Reis
48′
2–0 L. Reis
J. Dompé
50′
Bakery Jatta 🟨
57′
L. Öztunalı 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
64′
R. Königsdörffer 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
64′
74′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ D. Dressel
74′
🔁 S. Vasiliadis
↦ K. Pröger
74′
🔁 N. Fröling
↦ D. Roßbach
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ L. Bénes
77′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
77′
Ignace Van der Brempt 🟨
79′
82′
🟨 Nico Neidhart
84′
🟨 Christian Kinsombi
M. Heyer 🔁
↦ L. Reis
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
21 L. Öztunalı
11 R. Königsdörffer
10 I. Pherai
20 A. Németh
3 M. Heyer
12 T. Mickel
46 E. Krahn
19 M. Raab
35 S. Ambrosius

Coach: T. Walter

Hansa Rostock

3-4-1-2
1 M. Kolke G
22 J. van der Werff D
4 D. Roßbach D
21 A. Rossipal D
7 N. Neidhart M
6 D. Dressel M
26 J. Bachmann M
13 K. Schumacher M
14 S. Ingelsson F
9 K. Pröger F
18 J. Perea F
Bench (9)
27 C. Kinsombi
17 J. David
11 S. Güler
19 S. Vasiliadis
10 N. Fröling
28 S. Singh
24 J. Strauß
29 F. Ruschke
23 N. Körber

Coach: A. Schwartz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,71
B
5,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,44
U2,5 ✓
2,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.