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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Aberdeen
U T U U T
0–2
Full-time
Hibernian
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 10. · Hibernian 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 St Mirren 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Motherwell 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Rangers 4 2 0 2 +4 6
5 Ross County 4 2 0 2 -1 6
6 Dundee 4 1 2 1 +0 5
7 Livingston 4 1 2 1 -3 5
8 Hearts 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Kilmarnock 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Aberdeen 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 ST Johnstone 4 0 2 2 -4 2
12 Hibernian 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. May -23 Aberdeen – Hibernian 0–0 28. Jan -23 Hibernian – Aberdeen 6–0 4. Nov -22 Aberdeen – Hibernian 4–1 17. Sep -22 Hibernian – Aberdeen 3–1 7. May -22 Hibernian – Aberdeen 1–1

Match report

Aberdeen Hibernian
17′
🟨 James Jeggo
Slobodan Rubežić 🟨
26′
32′
🟨 Josh Campbell
Half-time 0–0
S. Morris 🔁
↦ S. Rubežić
46′
51′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
E. Sokler 🔁
↦ S. Morris
61′
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ C. Barron
62′
66′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ J. Campbell
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ D. Vente
75′
⚽ A. Le Fondre 0–1
J. Newell
D. Polvara 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
76′
P. Guèye 🔁
↦ Duk
79′
80′
⚽ C. Doidge 0–2
P. Hanlon
85′
🟨 Joe Newell
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
27 A. MacDonald D
33 S. Rubežić D
5 R. Jensen D
2 N. Devlin M
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
15 J. McGarry M
7 J. McGrath F
11 Duk F
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
20 S. Morris
19 E. Sokler
10 L. Clarkson
21 D. Polvara
14 P. Guèye
3 J. MacKenzie
23 R. Duncan
31 R. Doohan
17 J. Hayes

Coach: B. Robson

Hibernian

4-3-3
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
32 J. Campbell M
14 J. Jeggo M
11 J. Newell M
10 M. Boyle F
9 D. Vente F
7 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
19 A. Le Fondre
23 C. Doidge
25 M. Boruc
26 R. Harbottle
40 R. McAllister
33 R. Bushiri
35 R. Molotnikov
28 A. Delferrière
42 K. Megwa

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
🔒
U
3,36
🔒
B ✓
3,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,94
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.