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Serie A
Referee: G Manganiello
Udinese
S U T U T
2–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 17%
7%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 63%
53%
73%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,81 xG 3,03
33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 13
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 17. · Sassuolo 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Inter 15 12 2 1 +30 +21.8 38
2 Juventus 16 11 4 1 +14 +14.6 37
3 Milan 16 10 2 4 +11 +2.2 32
4 Napoli 16 8 3 5 +9 +12.8 27
5 Roma 15 7 4 4 +11 +6.9 25
6 Bologna 15 6 7 2 +6 +5.0 25
7 Fiorentina 15 7 3 5 +6 -0.9 24
8 Atalanta 15 7 2 6 +6 +4.5 23
9 Torino 16 6 5 5 -2 +0.0 23
10 Lazio 15 6 3 6 +0 +2.6 21
11 Monza 16 5 6 5 -1 -3.9 21
12 Lecce 16 4 8 4 -2 -9.5 20
13 Frosinone 16 5 4 7 -5 -5.6 19
14 Genoa 16 4 4 8 -5 -1.0 16
15 Sassuolo 15 4 3 8 -6 -7.7 15
16 Cagliari 16 3 4 9 -13 -6.1 13
17 Udinese 15 1 9 5 -13 -1.8 12
18 Empoli 16 3 3 10 -18 -7.0 12
19 Verona 15 2 5 8 -9 -9.9 11
20 Salernitana 15 1 5 9 -19 -17.0 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Sassuolo
20′
🟨 Marcus Pedersen
1–0 L. Lucca
R. Pereyra
36′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Pereyra
55′
56′
🔁 C. Volpato
↦ D. Boloca
Martín Payero ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
58′
Martín Payero 🟥
59′
K. Ehizibue 🔁
↦ H. Kamara
71′
71′
🔁 S. Mulattieri
↦ M. Pedersen
75′
D. Berardi 2–1
Festy Ebosele 🟨
77′
A. Masina 🔁
↦ F. Ebosele
77′
88′
D. Berardi 2–2
89′
🔁 E. Ceïde
↦ A. Laurienté
Adam Masina 🟨
90′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Walace
91′
I. Success 🔁
↦ L. Lucca
91′
Roberto Pereyra 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
31 T. Kristensen D
18 N. Pérez D
27 C. Kabasele D
2 F. Ebosele M
4 S. Lovrić M
11 Walace M
32 M. Payero M
12 H. Kamara M
37 R. Pereyra F
17 L. Lucca F
Bench (12)
19 K. Ehizibue
3 A. Masina
6 Oier Zarraga
7 I. Success
40 M. Okoye
21 E. Camara
16 A. Tikvić
24 L. Samardžić
93 D. Padelli
8 Domingos Quina
80 S. Pafundi
26 F. Thauvin

Coach: G. Cioffi

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
47 A. Consigli G
3 M. Pedersen D
5 M. Erlić D
13 G. Ferrari D
22 J. Toljan D
7 Matheus Henrique M
24 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
9 A. Pinamonti F
Bench (11)
23 C. Volpato
8 S. Mulattieri
15 E. Ceïde
11 N. Bajrami
29 M. Falasca
35 L. Lipani
28 A. Cragno
2 F. Missori
25 G. Pegolo
20 Samu Castillejo
30 S. Loeffen

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,59
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.