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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Charleroi
T U T S T
1–4
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
2,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 39%
18%
60%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
47%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,46 xG 2,40
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 13. · Club Brugge 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 12 1 1 +21 +15.4 37
2 Cercle Brugge 13 10 1 2 +15 +13.8 31
3 Club Brugge 15 9 3 3 +24 +26.5 30
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +13 +9.5 28
5 Antwerp 13 6 6 1 +21 +14.0 24
6 Gent 13 6 5 2 +7 +7.2 23
7 Genk 12 6 4 2 +17 +18.7 22
8 Standard 15 4 6 5 -6 -9.9 18
9 Westerlo 16 4 4 8 -7 -9.0 16
10 RWD Molenbeek 16 4 4 8 -19 -18.4 16
11 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 -3 -4.0 15
12 St Truiden 13 3 5 5 -8 -5.4 14
13 Charleroi 17 3 5 9 -12 -10.8 14
14 Kortrijk 18 3 3 12 -28 -17.4 12
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 2 4 9 -11 -5.8 10
16 Eupen 16 2 2 12 -24 -24.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Club Brugge
12′
B. Mechele 0–1
22′
C. Nielsen 0–2
H. Vanaken
25′
ℹ️ Casper Nielsen
VAR: Goal confirmed
34′
Thiago 0–3
Half-time 0–3
R. Monticelli 🔁
↦ V. Dragsnes
46′
54′
Thiago 0–4
A. Skov Olsen
57′
ℹ️ Igor Thiago
VAR: Goal confirmed
62′
🔁 Ferran Jutglà
↦ Thiago
62′
🔁 É. Balanta
↦ C. Nielsen
62′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ H. Vetlesen
67′
🟨 Éder Balanta
M. Boukamir 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
70′
P. Guiagon 🔁
↦ I. Mbenza
71′
A. Bernier 🔁
↦ K. Nkuba
71′
A. Benbouali 🔁
↦ Y. Sylla
79′
79′
🔁 D. Odoi
↦ A. Skov Olsen
79′
🔁 A. Nusa
↦ P. Zinckernagel
1–4 A. Bernier
P. Guiagon
94′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-1-1
1 P. Patron G
29 Ž. Rogelj D
4 J. Van Cleemput D
21 S. Andreou D
15 V. Dragsnes D
28 K. Nkuba M
44 R. Morioka M
6 A. Zorgane M
7 I. Mbenza M
18 D. Heymans F
80 Y. Sylla F
Bench (9)
27 R. Monticelli
32 M. Boukamir
8 P. Guiagon
17 A. Bernier
13 A. Benbouali
55 M. Delavallée
25 D. Marcq
2 J. Bager
19 N. Štulić

Coach: F. Mazzù

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
55 M. De Cuyper D
58 J. Spileers D
44 B. Mechele D
14 B. Meijer D
10 H. Vetlesen M
27 C. Nielsen M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
77 P. Zinckernagel M
99 Thiago F
Bench (9)
9 Ferran Jutglà
39 É. Balanta
8 M. Skóraś
6 D. Odoi
32 A. Nusa
28 D. Boyata
29 N. Jackers
11 Víctor Barberá
64 K. Sabbe

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,90
U
4,28
B ✓
1,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.