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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Dender

U U S S U

1–2

Full-time

Club Brugge

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Club Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,25 xG 1,09

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 1. · Club Brugge 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	4	2	2	0	+4	-0.5	8
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.4	7
3	St. Gilloise	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.0	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
5	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
6	Charleroi	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
8	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
9	Standard	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.2	4
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.4	4
11	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
12	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.0	3
13	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
14	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.4	1
15	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
16	St Truiden	4	0	1	3	-9	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Dender	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.3	4
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
5	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
6	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
8	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
11	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
14	St Truiden	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
15	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
7	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	3
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
9	St. Gilloise	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
10	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
11	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
12	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
15	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.