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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Club Brugge

S S S U T

4–2

Full-time

Charleroi

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,8

1,8

Scored

3,7

0,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

60%

17%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

3,0

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,37 xG 0,63

56% Possession 44%

25 Shots 14

10 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Charleroi 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	5	4	0	1	+5	+5.5	12
2	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+11	+7.6	10
3	RWD Molenbeek	6	3	1	2	-7	-3.4	10
4	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.1	9
5	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+9	+0.8	7
6	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.5	7
7	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-3	-6.1	7
8	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
10	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
11	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.7	4
12	Charleroi	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.0	4
13	Standard	5	0	3	2	-2	-5.2	3
14	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-6	-3.8	1
15	Kortrijk	5	0	1	4	-11	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.8	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.3	6
5	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	+3.6	4
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
7	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.0	4
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
9	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
10	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
14	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
15	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
2	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.9	6
3	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.8	4
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.3	4
5	RWD Molenbeek	3	1	1	1	-5	-1.1	4
6	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	Eupen	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
9	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
10	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.7	1
13	Charleroi	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.6	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.