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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Kortrijk
T S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Beerschot VA
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 16%
23%
8%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
58%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,28 xG 1,08
61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Beerschot VA 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 22 17 3 2 +23 +21.7 54
2 Club Brugge 22 15 5 2 +29 +26.2 50
3 St. Gilloise 22 13 6 3 +25 +24.0 45
4 Anderlecht 22 12 5 5 +22 +6.4 41
5 Antwerp 21 10 8 3 +16 -1.2 38
6 Gent 22 8 8 6 +7 -4.0 32
7 Cercle Brugge 26 7 9 10 -15 -2.3 30
8 Charleroi 22 7 8 7 +0 +2.4 29
9 Dender 22 7 7 8 -7 -11.9 28
10 Standard 22 7 6 9 -13 -8.3 27
11 Mechelen 22 6 6 10 -2 +0.7 24
12 Westerlo 23 6 6 11 -3 -0.3 24
13 St Truiden 26 5 7 14 -24 -8.6 22
14 Kortrijk 26 6 3 17 -24 -16.2 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 3 11 8 -7 -3.9 20
16 Beerschot VA 26 2 8 16 -27 -24.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Beerschot VA
17′
⚽ E. Henderson 0–1
R. van La Parra
1–1 J. Duverne ⚽
39′
2–1 Nacho Ferri ⚽
T. Ambrose
43′
45′
⚽ A. Colassin 2–2
Half-time 2–2
46′
ℹ️ Antoine Colassin
VAR: Goal confirmed
65′
🔁 M. Weymans
↦ D. van der Kust
65′
🔁 D. Redan
↦ A. Colassin
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
66′
D. De Neve 🔁
↦ D. Karim
69′
73′
🟨 Davor Matijaš
3–2 N. Mehssatou ⚽
A. Kadri
82′
K. Kostons 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
84′
K. Czubak 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
84′
89′
🔁 D. Wright-Phillips
↦ Faisal Al Ghamdi
89′
🔁 D. Tshimanga
↦ R. van La Parra
Nacho Ferri 🟨
91′
G. Dewaele 🔁
↦ Nacho Ferri
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-3
13 E. De Vlaeminck G
27 A. Sissako D
33 R. Tsunoda D
5 J. Ndjeungoue D
93 J. Duverne M
8 D. Karim M
23 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 N. Mehssatou M
10 A. Kadri F
19 Nacho Ferri F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
11 D. De Neve
18 K. Kostons
9 K. Czubak
20 G. Dewaele
32 Mouhamed Guèye II
24 H. Fujii
1 T. Alliet
26 B. Lagae
17 M. Bruno

Coach: B. Storck

Beerschot VA

4-4-2
71 D. Matijaš G
4 B. Plat D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
5 L. Mbe Soh D
11 D. van der Kust D
8 E. Henderson M
20 H. Sahabo M
16 Faisal Al Ghamdi M
77 R. van La Parra M
17 Marwan Al Sahafi F
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
28 M. Weymans
10 D. Redan
32 D. Wright-Phillips
26 D. Tshimanga
33 N. Shinton
30 D. Huiberts
3 E. Ortakaya
7 T. Reyners
42 A. Martha

Coach: D. Kuijt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,13
B
5,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

W Smet · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.