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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Elche
S S S T U
4–0
Full-time
Oviedo
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
40%
47%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
53%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
23 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 0
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 9. · Oviedo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 16 11 4 1 +13 37
2 Mirandes 16 8 4 4 +5 28
3 Sp Gijon 16 7 5 4 +7 26
4 Granada 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 Oviedo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
6 Zaragoza 16 7 4 5 +7 25
7 Almeria 15 7 4 4 +2 25
8 Levante 14 6 5 3 +4 23
9 Elche 15 6 4 5 +3 22
10 Malaga 15 4 10 1 +1 22
11 Castellon 15 6 3 6 +2 21
12 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -2 21
13 Huesca 16 5 5 6 +3 20
14 Albacete 16 5 5 6 -3 20
15 Eldense 16 5 3 8 -4 18
16 Cadiz 16 4 6 6 -4 18
17 Burgos 16 5 3 8 -7 18
18 La Coruna 16 4 5 7 +0 17
19 Cordoba 15 4 5 6 -4 17
20 Ferrol 15 2 7 6 -8 13
21 Tenerife 15 2 4 9 -10 10
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Oviedo
4′
🟨 Jaime Vázquez
1–0 N. Fernández
5′
D. Affengruber 🔁
↦ Bambo Diaby
23′
Yago Santiago 🟨
31′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Álvarez
Raúl Guti
48′
Agustín Álvarez 🟨
51′
3–0 N. Fernández
53′
Aleix Febas 🟨
58′
Nicolás Fernández
penalty missed
62′
63′
🔁 Portillo
↦ Santi Cazorla
63′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ H. Hassan
N. Castro 🔁
↦ Yago Santiago
72′
Mario Gaspar 🔁
↦ Josan
72′
73′
🔁 K. Sibo
↦ S. Colombatto
73′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Alemão
82′
🟨 Ilyas Chaira
S. Kaba 🔁
↦ N. Fernández
82′
Álex Martín 🔁
↦ Pedro Bigas
82′
4–0 N. Castro
A. Álvarez
83′
84′
🔁 Álex Cardero
↦ Lucas Ahijado
91′
🟨 Oier Luengo
95′
🟨 Aarón Escandell
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
4 Bambo Diaby D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
17 Josan M
14 Aleix Febas M
8 Raúl Guti M
24 Yago Santiago M
10 N. Fernández F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
22 D. Affengruber
21 N. Castro
2 Mario Gaspar
18 S. Kaba
16 Álex Martín
1 Miguel San Román
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
31 Gerard Hernández
20 Cristian Salvador
5 John Donald
36 R. Núñez
19 M. El Ghezouani

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
15 Oier Luengo D
29 Jaime Vázquez D
3 R. Alhassane D
20 Jaime Seoane M
11 S. Colombatto M
23 H. Hassan M
8 Santi Cazorla M
16 I. Chaira M
9 Alemão F
Bench (12)
10 Portillo
7 Sebas Moyano
6 K. Sibo
14 D. Paraschiv
27 Álex Cardero
30 Marco Esteban
1 Q. Braat
31 C. Eze
22 Carlos Dotor
5 Alberto del Moral
4 David Costas
32 Adrián Lopes

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,03
B
3,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,61
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.