Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Genoa
Cagliari
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atalanta
|
13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +18 | +12.7 | 28 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +17 | +11.3 | 28 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +10 | +6.5 | 26 |
| 4 |
Fiorentina
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +15 | +8.3 | 25 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | +14 | +9.6 | 25 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +11 | +10.7 | 25 |
| 7 |
Milan
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +6 | +9.0 | 19 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +2 | +0.5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -6.3 | 16 |
| 10 |
Empoli
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | -7.3 | 15 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -5.4 | 14 |
| 12 |
Roma
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | -1.1 | 13 |
| 13 |
Parma
|
13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -4 | -3.5 | 12 |
| 14 |
Verona
|
13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -15 | -10.5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Como
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | -1.8 | 10 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | -5.7 | 10 |
| 17 |
Genoa
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | -8.7 | 10 |
| 18 |
Lecce
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -16 | -6.0 | 9 |
| 19 |
Monza
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -5 | -6.5 | 8 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -10 | -5.7 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Leali
G
S. Sabelli
D
M. Bani
D
Aarón Martín
D
A. Zanoli
M
M. Thorsby
M
M. Frendrup
M
F. Miretti
M
A. Pinamonti
F
Coach: P. Vieira
A. Sherri
G
G. Zappa
D
Y. Mina
D
S. Luperto
D
T. Augello
D
M. Adopo
M
R. Marin
M
N. Zortea
M
G. Gaetano
M
Zito Luvumbo
M
R. Piccoli
F
Coach: D. Nicola
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Genoa
Como
Parma
Genoa
Genoa
Fiorentina
Lazio
Genoa
Genoa
Bologna
S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.