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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Samsunspor

S U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Alanyaspor

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Alanyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,5

1,7

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 43%

67%

18%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 44%

42%

45%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,75 xG 0,94

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 3. · Alanyaspor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	11	1	0	+22	+11.2	34
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+22	+16.7	29
3	Samsunspor	12	8	1	3	+11	+6.4	25
4	Eyüpspor	13	6	4	3	+6	+0.4	22
5	Besiktas	11	6	3	2	+9	+7.8	21
6	Goztep	11	5	3	3	+6	+2.9	18
7	Sivasspor	13	5	3	5	-3	-10.0	18
8	Buyuksehyr	12	4	4	4	+0	+1.1	16
9	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	-8	-0.8	16
10	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	+0	-2.4	15
11	Kasimpasa	13	3	6	4	-3	+0.9	15
12	Konyaspor	13	4	3	6	-6	-4.1	15
13	Antalyaspor	12	4	2	6	-9	-8.3	14
14	Trabzonspor	11	2	6	3	-2	-2.8	12
15	Kayserispor	12	2	6	4	-9	-6.3	12
16	Bodrumspor	13	3	2	8	-7	-4.3	11
17	Alanyaspor	11	2	4	5	-5	+0.8	10
18	Hatayspor	12	1	4	7	-8	-4.9	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	11	0	2	9	-16	-4.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
4	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
5	Besiktas	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
6	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
7	Sivasspor	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.8	11
8	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	+2	+3.8	10
9	Antalyaspor	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.0	10
10	Buyuksehyr	5	2	3	0	+5	+2.1	9
11	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.4	9
12	Trabzonspor	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.6	8
13	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
14	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
15	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-8	-4.0	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	0	6	-12	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+14	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
4	Kasimpasa	6	3	3	0	+4	+0.8	12
5	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
6	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Sivasspor	6	2	1	3	-4	-6.2	7
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
11	Konyaspor	7	2	0	5	-7	-4.6	6
12	Trabzonspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.2	4
13	Alanyaspor	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.4	4
14	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
15	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
16	Bodrumspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.4	4
17	Goztep	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.0	2
18	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	2	3	-4	-2.8	2
19	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-5	-3.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.