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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

St Truiden

S U S S S

0–2

Full-time

Charleroi

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 49%

69%

29%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

46%

43%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,02 xG 1,02

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Charleroi 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+13	+4.4	34
2	St. Gilloise	14	9	5	0	+21	+16.7	32
3	St Truiden	13	9	2	2	+7	+11.9	29
4	Mechelen	15	7	6	2	+7	-2.4	27
5	Gent	13	8	2	3	+9	+4.3	26
6	Antwerp	16	6	4	6	+4	-0.1	22
7	Westerlo	17	5	6	6	-2	+3.8	21
8	Waregem	18	6	3	9	-4	-6.6	21
9	Anderlecht	14	5	5	4	+2	+4.3	20
10	Cercle Brugge	19	4	6	9	-6	-2.9	18
11	RAAL La Louviere	18	4	6	8	-6	-7.6	18
12	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-4	-1.6	15
13	Standard	15	4	3	8	-13	-8.9	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	5	7	-7	-4.6	14
15	Genk	12	3	4	5	-3	+0.9	13
16	Dender	18	2	5	11	-18	-11.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+4	+0.5	16
3	Gent	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.2	15
4	St Truiden	7	5	0	2	+2	+5.1	15
5	Waregem	9	4	1	4	+1	-1.3	13
6	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
7	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+4	+5.8	11
8	Mechelen	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.1	10
9	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.7	10
10	Anderlecht	7	2	3	2	+2	+5.3	9
11	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
12	Genk	7	2	2	3	-2	+3.6	8
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	3	4	-1	-1.4	6
14	Cercle Brugge	11	1	3	7	-9	-2.0	6
15	Dender	8	1	1	6	-10	-5.6	4
16	Standard	7	0	3	4	-9	-2.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	8	3	5	0	+5	+7.7	14
4	St Truiden	6	4	2	0	+5	+6.8	14
5	Cercle Brugge	8	3	3	2	+3	-0.8	12
6	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.1	11
8	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
9	Antwerp	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
10	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
11	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	2	5	-4	-3.0	8
12	Waregem	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.2	8
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	2	3	-6	-3.1	8
14	Dender	10	1	4	5	-8	-5.9	7
15	Charleroi	7	2	0	5	-4	-1.2	6
16	Genk	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.