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Pro League

Referee: Lawrence Visser

St Truiden

S S S U T

1–2

Full-time

Genk

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,52 xG 1,80

37% Possession 63%

15 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 5. · Genk 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	5	2	0	+12	+11.1	17
2	Club Brugge	6	4	1	1	+4	+2.8	13
3	Waregem	9	4	1	4	+0	-1.9	13
4	Anderlecht	7	3	3	1	+6	+4.7	12
5	St Truiden	6	3	2	1	+2	+5.0	11
6	RAAL La Louviere	8	3	1	4	-2	-5.7	10
7	Gent	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
8	Mechelen	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.2	9
9	Cercle Brugge	7	2	2	3	+1	+0.9	8
10	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.7	7
11	Westerlo	7	2	1	4	-4	-1.6	7
12	Antwerp	5	1	2	2	-2	-5.2	5
13	Standard	6	1	2	3	-5	-3.3	5
14	Genk	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.5	4
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	1	3	-7	-1.0	4
16	Dender	7	0	1	6	-11	-8.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+10	+7.4	9
2	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
3	Waregem	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.0	7
4	RAAL La Louviere	4	2	1	1	+0	-3.2	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
6	St Truiden	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.4	6
7	Anderlecht	4	1	2	1	+2	+3.2	5
8	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.5	4
9	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
10	Cercle Brugge	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.9	4
11	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.5	4
12	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
13	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.6	3
14	Standard	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.4	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
16	Dender	3	0	0	3	-4	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	2	2	0	+2	+3.7	8
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.5	7
3	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.4	6
4	Waregem	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.9	6
5	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
6	Mechelen	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
7	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.8	4
8	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.8	4
9	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
10	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.3	3
11	Standard	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
12	RAAL La Louviere	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.5	3
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.3	3
14	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
16	Dender	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.