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Pro League

Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

Standard

T T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

44%

64%

Both score Ø 24%

11%

36%

Average goals

1,9

2,9

Scored

0,4

0,9

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,05 xG 1,12

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 11. · Cercle Brugge 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
2	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+15	+9.2	21
3	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+14	+7.7	19
4	Genk	9	6	1	2	+6	+13.0	19
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+11	-1.5	17
6	Charleroi	9	4	2	3	+4	+3.3	14
7	Dender	10	3	5	2	+0	-2.2	14
8	St. Gilloise	9	3	4	2	+3	+5.9	13
9	St Truiden	12	3	3	6	-14	-4.5	12
10	Mechelen	9	3	2	4	+0	-1.0	11
11	Standard	9	3	2	4	-9	-5.7	11
12	Cercle Brugge	11	3	2	6	-12	-9.5	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	5	3	-3	+2.1	8
14	Westerlo	9	2	2	5	-4	-1.6	8
15	Beerschot VA	11	1	4	6	-11	-11.7	7
16	Kortrijk	11	2	1	8	-17	-8.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
2	Genk	5	4	1	0	+7	+6.4	13
3	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
4	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
5	St Truiden	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.3	12
6	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
7	Standard	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
8	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
9	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+10	+6.4	7
10	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.3	7
11	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
12	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	3	1	+1	+2.2	6
14	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
15	Kortrijk	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.4	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	6	2	3	1	-2	-2.8	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.1	7
5	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
6	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
7	Charleroi	4	1	1	2	+0	-0.6	4
8	St. Gilloise	5	0	4	1	-1	+0.9	4
9	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.3	4
10	Cercle Brugge	6	1	1	4	-9	-7.1	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
14	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
15	Kortrijk	6	0	1	5	-14	-7.0	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.