Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: M Bollengier

Marseille

S U S S T

5–2

Full-time

Paris FC

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Marseille Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

1,8

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,83 xG 1,09

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 12. · Paris FC 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.9	6
2	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
7	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
8	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.6	3
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
12	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
13	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
14	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
15	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
16	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
18	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
3	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
5	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.1	3
6	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
9	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
10	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
5	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
6	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
7	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
8	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
9	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
10	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.