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Ligue 1
Referee: Marc Bollengier
Troyes
T S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Paris FC
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 1,80
42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Feb -25 Paris FC – Troyes 1–0 21. Oct -24 Troyes – Paris FC 0–3 13. Apr -24 Troyes – Paris FC 1–2 28. Oct -23 Paris FC – Troyes 2–2 10. Apr -21 Paris FC – Troyes 1–1

Match report

Troyes Paris FC
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Moses Simon
↦ Luca Koleosho
Noah Donkor 🔁
↦ Yvann Titi
55′
Michel Diaz 🟨
56′
62′
🟨 Otávio
63′
🔁 Maxime López
↦ Rudy Matondo
Mouhamed Diop 🟨
69′
Antoine Mille 🔁
↦ Kandet Diawara
75′
Alexandre Phliponeau 🔁
↦ Iron Gomis
76′
79′
🔁 Omar Sissoko
↦ Lassine Sinayoko
81′
🔁 Patrick Zabi
↦ Pablo Pagis
Yacouba Kone 🔁
↦ Renaud Ripart
86′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Troyes

4-3-3
33 Patrick Beach G
44 Yvann Titi D
6 Adrien Monfray D
4 Michel Diaz D
3 Anis Ouzenadji D
11 Iron Gomis M
8 Mouhamed Diop M
22 Hugo Picard M
10 Merwan Ifnaoui F
20 Renaud Ripart F
7 Kandet Diawara F
Bench (9)
31 Noah Donkor
17 Antoine Mille
26 Alexandre Phliponeau
39 Yacouba Kone
40 Hillel Konaté
5 Paolo Gozzi
36 Idrissa Soukouna
29 Karim Dermane
37 Christ Batola

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
1 Kevin Trapp G
17 Adama Camara D
42 Diego Coppola D
5 Moustapha Mbow D
6 Otávio D
23 Rudy Matondo M
33 Pierre Lees Melou M
10 Ilan Kebbal M
7 Pablo Pagis M
15 Luca Koleosho M
9 Lassine Sinayoko F
Bench (9)
27 Moses Simon
20 Maxime López
18 Omar Sissoko
8 Patrick Zabi
16 Obed Nkambadio
28 Thibault De Smet
31 Samir Chergui
14 Hamari Traoré
4 Vincent Marchetti

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
🔒
U ✓
3,46
🔒
B
2,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,68
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,10
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.