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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
A. Lustenau
T T T T T
0–4
Full-time
Salzburg
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
0,6
2,3
Conceded
1,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Lustenau 12. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 8 6 1 1 +13 19
2 Sturm Graz 8 5 3 0 +10 18
3 LASK 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 A. Klagenfurt 8 3 4 1 +4 13
5 Hartberg 8 3 3 2 -2 12
6 Altach 8 3 2 3 -2 11
7 SK Rapid 8 2 4 2 +6 10
8 Wolfsberger AC 8 2 4 2 -2 10
9 BW Linz 8 2 2 4 -8 8
10 Austria Vienna 8 1 2 5 -7 5
11 Tirol 8 1 2 5 -8 5
12 A. Lustenau 8 0 2 6 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Lustenau Salzburg
21′
R. Šimić 0–1
A. Forson
25′
O. Solet 0–2
A. Forson
Domenik Schierl 🟨
27′
32′
🔁 N. Capaldo
↦ M. Bidstrup
39′
K. Konaté 0–3
Half-time 0–3
S. Šurdanović 🔁
↦ Anderson
46′
B. Moltenis 🔁
↦ D. Grujčić
46′
Y. Diaby 🔁
↦ A. Schmid
46′
58′
O. Gloukh 0–4
L. Gourna-Douath
59′
🔁 M. Kjærgaard
↦ A. Dedić
59′
🔁 L. Sučić
↦ O. Gloukh
59′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ R. Šimić
T. Berger 🔁
↦ B. Diallo
65′
Boris Moltenis 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ A. Forson
B. Bobzien 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
76′
Fabian Gmeiner 🟨
82′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

A. Lustenau

4-2-3-1
27 D. Schierl G
7 F. Gmeiner D
5 L. Mätzler D
6 D. Grujčić D
11 B. Diallo D
33 D. Tiefenbach M
23 P. Grabher M
28 Anderson M
8 T. Rhein M
18 A. Schmid M
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
70 S. Šurdanović
2 B. Moltenis
22 Y. Diaby
4 T. Berger
19 B. Bobzien
20 J. Schmid
21 A. Helac

Coach: M. Mader

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
32 A. Forson M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
7 N. Capaldo
14 M. Kjærgaard
10 L. Sučić
21 P. Ratkov
45 N. Dorgeles
6 S. Baidoo
1 N. Mantl

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.