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DFB-Pokal

Referee: S Stegemann

Stuttgart

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Union Berlin

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Union Berlin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

4,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 13. · Union Berlin 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
24	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
25	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
26	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
27	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
28	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
29	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
30	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
31	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
32	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.