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Europa League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Rakow
S T S T S
0–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,74 xG 1,70
52% Possession 48%
7 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rakow Sturm Graz
23′
⚽ W. Bøving 0–1
35′
🟨 Amadou Dante
Half-time 0–1
Fran Tudor 🟨
48′
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ M. Cebula
59′
A. Crnac 🔁
↦ F. Piasecki
60′
Ante Crnac 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ W. Bøving
G. Berggren 🔁
↦ S. Kittel
75′
B. Lederman 🔁
↦ V. Kocherhin
75′
76′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ O. Kiteishvili
76′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ S. Włodarczyk
B. Nowak 🔁
↦ G. Papanikolaou
85′
88′
🟨 Bryan Silva Teixeira
88′
🔁 Javi Serrano
↦ A. Prass
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
15 A. Kovačević D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kocherhin M
14 S. Plavšić M
77 M. Cebula F
99 F. Piasecki F
93 S. Kittel F
Bench (8)
11 J. Yeboah
19 A. Crnac
5 G. Berggren
8 B. Lederman
27 B. Nowak
12 A. Tsiftsis
22 D. Sorescu
9 Ł. Zwoliński

Coach: D. Szwarga

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
15 W. Bøving M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 A. Prass M
9 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (12)
11 M. Sarkaria
17 Bryan Teixeira
20 S. Jatta
14 Javi Serrano
24 D. Lavalée
29 M. Fuseini
43 H. Obi
21 S. Stückler
19 T. Horvat
2 M. Johnston
31 L. Marić
6 A. Borković

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.