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Europa League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Roma
U S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Dynamo Kyiv
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Dynamo Kyiv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,35 xG 0,76
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Dynamo Kyiv
22′
🟨 Taras Mykhavko
1–0 A. Dovbyk ⚽
23′
36′
🟨 Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Angeliño 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
B. Cristante 🔁
↦ E. Le Fée
53′
E. Shomurodov 🔁
↦ A. Dovbyk
53′
63′
🔁 M. Shaparenko
↦ O. Andriievskyi
63′
🔁 V. Brazhko
↦ V. Rubchynskyi
63′
🔁 V. Kabaiev
↦ N. Voloshyn
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ N. Pisilli
68′
P. Dybala 🔁
↦ T. Baldanzi
68′
68′
🔁 V. Vanat
↦ E. Guerrero
81′
🔁 V. Buialskyi
↦ M. Mykhailenko
84′
🟨 Vladyslav Kabaiev
94′
🟨 Mykola Shaparenko
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Çelik D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
59 N. Zalewski M
17 M. Koné M
28 E. Le Fée M
3 Angeliño M
35 T. Baldanzi F
61 N. Pisilli F
11 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (10)
4 B. Cristante
14 E. Shomurodov
7 L. Pellegrini
21 P. Dybala
12 Saud Abdulhamid
16 L. Paredes
98 M. Ryan
66 Buba Sangaré
15 M. Hummels
89 R. Bellucci

Coach: I. Jurić

Dynamo Kyiv

5-3-2
35 R. Neshcheret G
24 O. Tymchyk D
40 K. Bilovar D
4 D. Popov D
32 T. Mykhavko D
2 K. Vivcharenko D
91 M. Mykhailenko M
18 O. Andriievskyi M
15 V. Rubchynskyi M
9 N. Voloshyn F
39 E. Guerrero F
Bench (11)
10 M. Shaparenko
6 V. Brazhko
22 V. Kabaiev
11 V. Vanat
29 V. Buialskyi
23 N. Malysh
44 V. Dubinchak
51 V. Morhun
20 O. Karavaiev
1 H. Bushchan
3 M. Diachuk

Coach: O. Shovkovskyi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.