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Conference League
Referee: D Sakhi
Jagiellonia
S S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Petrocub
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Petrocub
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,64 xG 0,11
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia Petrocub
44′
🟨 Teodor Lungu
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Lupan
↦ V. Ambros
52′
ℹ️ Donalio Melachio Douanla
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
🔁 B. Diallo
↦ V. Nihaev
Miki Villar 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
61′
Nené 🔁
↦ J. Kubicki
61′
67′
🟨 Ion Jardan
1–0 Afimico Pululu ⚽
69′
2–0 Afimico Pululu ⚽
Miki Villar
72′
M. Listkowski 🔁
↦ D. Churlinov
78′
81′
🔁 M. Agyemang
↦ I. Jardan
81′
🔁 G. Narh
↦ V. Jardan
Nené 🟨
82′
A. Nguiamba 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
87′
P. Kováčik 🔁
↦ Miki Villar
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
16 M. Sáček D
3 D. Stojinović D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
44 João Moutinho D
6 T. Romanczuk M
14 J. Kubicki M
99 K. Hansen M
11 Jesús Imaz M
21 D. Churlinov M
10 Afimico Pululu F
Bench (11)
20 Miki Villar
8 Nené
29 M. Listkowski
39 A. Nguiamba
22 P. Kováčik
1 M. Stryjek
51 A. Rybak
5 C. Polak
66 M. Piekutowski
4 J. Haliti
82 Tomás Silva

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Petrocub

3-4-2-1
1 S. Șmalenea G
11 S. Plătică D
4 V. Mudrac D
20 D. Douanla D
90 I. Jardan M
30 V. Jardan M
39 T. Lungu M
8 D. Demian M
9 V. Ambros F
22 M. Căruntu F
17 V. Nihaev F
Bench (8)
23 M. Lupan
6 B. Diallo
55 M. Agyemang
5 G. Narh
31 V. Dodon
66 I. Borș
21 M. Potîrniche
32 D. Coval

Coach: A. Martin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.