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Conference League
Referee: G Kikacheishvili
Gent
S T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Molde
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 86%
71%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 29%
57%
0%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 0,72
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Nov -22 Gent – Molde 4–0 8. Sep -22 Molde – Gent 0–0

Match report

Gent Molde
Tsuyoshi Watanabe 🟨
10′
1–0 N. Fadiga ⚽
O. Gandelman
24′
39′
🟨 Valdemar Lund
44′
🟨 Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Half-time 1–0
Hélio Varela 🔁
↦ M. Sonko
65′
M. Samoise 🔁
↦ N. Fadiga
65′
Sven Kums 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 K. Haugen
↦ H. Stenevik
69′
🔁 K. Eriksen
↦ M. Enggård
M. Dean 🔁
↦ O. Gandelman
72′
A. Brown 🔁
↦ Tiago Araújo
73′
78′
⚽ M. Møller Dæhli 1–1
E. Breivik
A. Ito 🔁
↦ S. Kums
82′
84′
🟨 Martin Bjørnbak
86′
🔁 I. Amundsen
↦ M. Bjørnbak
87′
🔁 F. Ihler
↦ M. Eikrem
87′
🔁 S. Granaas
↦ E. Breivik
2–1 A. Brown ⚽
T. Watanabe
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
33 D. Roef G
12 H. Gambor D
4 T. Watanabe D
13 S. Mitrović D
20 Tiago Araújo D
6 O. Gandelman M
16 M. Delorge M
24 S. Kums M
22 N. Fadiga F
9 A. Guðjohnsen F
11 M. Sonko F
Bench (12)
29 Hélio Varela
18 M. Samoise
21 M. Dean
3 A. Brown
15 A. Ito
19 F. Surdez
1 D. Schmidt
25 Núrio Fortuna
7 Z. Vancsa
40 R. Vanden Borre
23 J. Torunarigha
8 P. Gerkens

Coach: W. Vrancken

Molde

3-5-2
22 A. Posiadała G
3 C. Øyvann D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
4 V. Lund D
18 H. Stenevik M
17 M. Møller Dæhli M
10 M. Enggård M
16 E. Breivik M
31 M. Løvik M
7 M. Eikrem F
27 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (11)
28 K. Haugen
20 K. Eriksen
26 I. Amundsen
9 F. Ihler
23 S. Granaas
33 N. Ødegård
34 S. McDermott
25 A. Hagelskjær
29 G. Nyheim
32 P. Lervik
19 E. Haugan

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kikacheishvili · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.