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Europa League
Referee: S Gishamer
Midtjylland
U S S T T
1–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,78 xG 0,73
44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland St. Gilloise
1–0 O. Diao ⚽
A. Şimşir
18′
23′
🟨 Anan Khalaili
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Ousseynou Niang
P. Bravo 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
63′
Franculino Djú 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
64′
64′
🔁 F. Ivanović
↦ K. Rodríguez
64′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ N. Sadiki
M. Krüger-Johnsen 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
71′
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ E. Martínez
83′
V. Bak Jensen 🔁
↦ K. Mbabu
83′
85′
🔁 R. Sykes
↦ O. Niang
85′
🔁 K. Van de Perre
↦ M. Rasmussen
85′
🔁 E. Kabangu
↦ M. Fuseini
Mikel Gogorza 🟨
86′
89′
🟨 Kevin Mac Allister
92′
🟨 Franjo Ivanović
94′
🟨 Christian Burgess
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Ólafsson G
43 K. Mbabu D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
6 J. Andersson D
11 D. Osorio M
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
58 A. Şimşir M
18 A. Buksa F
25 J. Kuchta F
Bench (12)
19 P. Bravo
7 Franculino Djú
41 M. Krüger-Johnsen
17 K. Askildsen
55 V. Bak Jensen
15 C. Sørensen
73 Juninho
1 J. Lössl
20 V. Byskov
3 Lee Han-Beom
13 A. Gabriel
31 L. Selin

Coach: T. Thomasberg

St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
24 C. Vanhoutte M
25 A. Khalaili M
4 M. Rasmussen M
27 N. Sadiki M
22 O. Niang M
13 K. Rodríguez F
77 M. Fuseini F
Bench (8)
9 F. Ivanović
10 A. Ait El Hadj
26 R. Sykes
6 K. Van de Perre
7 E. Kabangu
14 J. Imbrechts
1 V. Chambaere
48 F. Leysen

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.