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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
Pafos
T S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Heidenheim
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pafos Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/3 matches
Win Ø 79%
57%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 93%
86%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
43%
100%
Average goals
3,1
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,87 xG 1,10
62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Pafos Heidenheim
25′
⚽ P. Mainka 0–1
S. Conteh
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Niklas Dorsch
53′
🔁 J. Schöppner
↦ N. Dorsch
53′
🔁 J. Föhrenbach
↦ M. Honsak
Derrick Luckassen 🟨
55′
Domingos Quina 🔁
↦ Jajá
61′
Pêpê Rodrigues 🔁
↦ V. Dragomir
71′
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ Jairo
72′
77′
🔁 L. Maloney
↦ L. Kerber
Léo Natel 🔁
↦ João Correia
79′
K. Pileas 🔁
↦ J. Silva
79′
86′
🔁 M. Pieringer
↦ M. Kaufmann
86′
🔁 O. Traoré
↦ S. Conteh
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
5 David Goldar D
19 J. Silva D
22 M. Tanković M
26 I. Šunjić M
77 João Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
11 Jajá M
10 Jairo F
Bench (9)
8 Domingos Quina
88 Pêpê Rodrigues
33 Anderson Silva
9 Léo Natel
2 K. Pileas
70 M. Ilia
25 M. Name
93 N. Michael
45 Rafael Pontelo

Coach: Carcedo

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
1 K. Müller G
2 M. Busch D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
30 N. Theuerkauf D
20 L. Kerber M
39 N. Dorsch M
31 S. Conteh M
21 A. Beck M
17 M. Honsak M
29 M. Kaufmann F
Bench (12)
3 J. Schöppner
19 J. Föhrenbach
33 L. Maloney
18 M. Pieringer
23 O. Traoré
40 F. Feller
10 P. Wanner
25 C. Negele
5 B. Gimber
22 V. Eicher
8 Léo Scienza
14 M. Breunig

Coach: F. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.