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Süper Lig
Referee: M Metoğlu
Bodrumspor
U T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodrumspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 58%
25%
91%
Points per game
0,9
2,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
33%
91%
Both score Ø 53%
33%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,9
Scored
0,8
2,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,25 xG 3,16
33% Possession 67%
9 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 10
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 9
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bodrumspor 16. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 11 10 1 0 +21 +8.3 31
2 Fenerbahce 12 9 2 1 +22 +16.7 29
3 Samsunspor 12 8 1 3 +11 +6.4 25
4 Eyüpspor 13 6 4 3 +6 +0.4 22
5 Besiktas 11 6 3 2 +9 +7.8 21
6 Goztep 11 5 3 3 +6 +2.9 18
7 Sivasspor 12 5 2 5 -3 -9.9 17
8 Buyuksehyr 12 4 4 4 +0 +1.1 16
9 Rizespor 12 5 1 6 -8 -0.8 16
10 Gaziantep 12 4 3 5 +0 -2.4 15
11 Kasimpasa 12 3 5 4 -3 +0.8 14
12 Konyaspor 12 4 2 6 -6 -3.7 14
13 Antalyaspor 12 4 2 6 -9 -8.3 14
14 Trabzonspor 11 2 6 3 -2 -2.8 12
15 Kayserispor 12 2 6 4 -9 -6.3 12
16 Bodrumspor 12 3 2 7 -6 -1.4 11
17 Alanyaspor 11 2 4 5 -5 +0.8 10
18 Hatayspor 11 1 3 7 -8 -5.3 6
19 Ad. Demirspor 11 0 2 9 -16 -4.2 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bodrumspor Galatasaray
Ege Bilsel 🟨
21′
Diogo Sousa 🔁
↦ G. Akkan
30′
Ege Bilsel 🟨
45′
Ege Bilsel 🟥
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ M. Baltacı
Samet Yalçın 🟨
48′
53′
🟨 Abdülkerim Bardakcı
54′
M. Batshuayi 0–1
D. Mertens
T. Seferi 🔁
↦ S. Yalçın
62′
A. Aslan 🔁
↦ Ü. Ergün
62′
62′
🔁 H. Ziyech
↦ Y. Akgün
68′
🟨 Roland Sallai
72′
🔁 E. Jelert
↦ D. Mertens
Pedro Brazão 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
80′
C. Dumanlı 🔁
↦ G. Pușcaș
80′
92′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ Gabriel Sara
92′
🔁 V. Nelsson
↦ K. Ayhan
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bodrumspor

4-1-4-1
53 G. Akkan G
23 Ü. Ergün D
15 A. Ajeti D
33 O. Čelůstka D
70 E. Bilsel D
16 Fredy M
7 Z. Dimitrov M
8 S. Yalçın M
5 T. Antalyalı M
41 G. Bayrakdar M
9 G. Pușcaș F
Bench (10)
1 Diogo Sousa
99 T. Seferi
21 A. Aslan
20 Pedro Brazão
48 C. Dumanlı
94 Y. Sertkaya
10 K. Özer
95 O. Başol
18 G. Obekpa
91 E. Öğrüce

Coach: V. Demirel

Galatasaray

3-4-1-2
1 F. Muslera G
90 M. Baltacı D
23 K. Ayhan D
42 A. Bardakcı D
53 B. Yılmaz M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
7 R. Sallai M
11 Y. Akgün F
10 D. Mertens F
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
44 M. Batshuayi
22 H. Ziyech
24 E. Jelert
8 K. Demirbay
25 V. Nelsson
83 E. Akman
5 E. Aydın
18 B. Kutlu
30 Y. Demir
19 G. Güvenç

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,75
U
4,85
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Metoğlu · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.